A Suitable Study
By: Fred Gitelman
Originally Published in Canadian Master Point, April,
1996
A hand came up in the recent Macallan Tournament in London (formerly
the Sunday Times Pairs) that interested me. At 3 of the eight tables
the contract was 6
. In order to
make the slam, it was necessary to play this trump suit:
Hamman played low to his
8 on
the first round and had to lose two trump tricks. Meckstroth started with
dummy's
10. When the famous player
holding
J7 made the mistake of
not covering, the defense was held to one trump trick and Meckstroth made
his slam.
I thought it was highly unusual that three players of this calibre would
all play a suit combination differently.
My first bridge mentor was Ted Horning. Over 10 years ago, Ted
suggested that it would be highly benificial for me to study the vast tables
of suit combinations in The Official Encyclopedia of Bridge. I decided
that if Ted thought that knowing how to play suit combinations was important,
I was going to learn how to play every one of them properly.
I was disappointed to find out that I was no better at studying long
boring bridge tables than I was at studying long boring university textbooks.
The fact that there were so many combinations made this task very painful.
The fact that very few bridge hands contain "pure problems",
the way the Encycopedia presents them, made it difficult to re-inforce
what I was trying to learn. I gave up trying to memorize suit combinations
and decided to teach myself how to figure out these problems at the table.
As the deal from London illustrates, not even the very best players
in the world "know" how to play every suit combination. What
they do have is the capacity to work out a reasonably good (if not the
best) line of play.
It is not very difficult to figure out how to play some suit combinations.
Here is the general approach:
- Step 1: Think of all "reasonable" lines of play
- Step 2: Figure out which line of play will work the greatest percentage
of the time.
The word "percentage" might scare you. In fact, many of these
problems can be solved without any mathematical calculation. For example:
You need 4 tricks from:
The presense of the
8 changes
everything (and makes the computation more difficult):
What is more likely, that either defender started with
9x
or that LHO started with
Kx or
Qx? If the former is true, line
2 is better. If the latter is true, line 3 is better. Perhaps the simplest
way to answer this question is to list all of the relevant holdings in
which lines 2 and 3 gain against each other:
Line 2 gains:
- 95 KQ76
- 96 KQ75
- 97 KQ65
- KQ76 95
- KQ75 96
- KQ65 97
Line 3 gains:
- Q5 K976
- Q6 K975
- Q7 K965
- K5 Q976
- K6 Q975
- K7 Q976
Each line gains against the other on six layouts. Since all of these
layouts are equally likely, lines 2 and 3 have equal chances of success.
Both are better than line 1 but neither is as good as:
4) Lead low to the
8. Cash the
A next. Line 4 works whenever line
3 does. It gains over line 3 when RHO has
9x
or
KQ9x. Simple logic tells us
that since line 4 is better than line 3 and line 3 is equal to line 2,
line 4 is also better than line 2. Line 4 is the correct line.
I have shown this suit combination to various international stars none
of whom "knew" the right answer. They were all surprised when
I told them it was right to play low to the
8.
For some reason this play does not look "intuitive".
Here is another combination with a non-intuitive answer:
You need four tricks:
The calculations involved in solving some suit combination problems
(like the one from London) are too difficult for all but the very best
players to solve at the table. Most of those that have the capacity to
solve this problem would not bother going to the trouble. This is largely
a matter of practicality - in a bridge tournament you have limited amounts
of time and concentration. Finding a line of play that is 5% better than
the "normal looking play" will only make a difference in one
such hand in 20. On the other 19 hands your play will not matter and your
calculations will leave you with less time and mental energy for the "easy
hands" (yes, I have been told some bridge hands are easy).
Another downside in trying to figure out every suit combination at the
table is that sometimes there is no answer:
You need 5 tricks holding:
opposite a void.
Here are the reasonable lines:
- Lead the
A followed by the
Q. This loses to
Kx
in either hand which lines 2 and 3 pick up.
- Lead the
A followed by the
10. This loses to
Jx
in either hand which lines 1 and 3 pick up.
- Lead the
A followed by a small
card. This loses to
9x in either
hand which lines 1 and 2 pick up.
Since
Kx,
Jx,
and
9x are all equally likely,
lines 1, 2 and 3 are all equally likely to succeed. Wouldn't you feel silly
spending five minutes figuring this out at the table only to discover that
you would have to rely on your table presense instead of your brilliant
technique?
Back to London, your trump suit in 6
is:
My computer tells me that neither Hamman, Meckstroth, nor Chemla played
the suit correctly. It says that you should cash the
A
first, then lead low towards the
Q
and guess whether or not to duck. I am not completely confident the computer
is correct and have not checked the calculations myself.
The computer also says that Hamman's play was the best of the three.
He was the only declarer to go down. Meckstroth made the technically worst
play but was able to capitalize on an error by the defense. Defensive errors
are impossible to factor into the play of suit combinations. Meckstroth
may be the best player in the world at inducing his opponents to make mistakes.
In terms of winning bridge, this quality is far more important than perfect
technique.
I started this article by claiming that it was not practical to memorize
tables of suit combinations. I have tried to demonstrate that it is not
practical (in most cases) to figure out these problems at the table. Does
this mean that I think my old mentor was wrong and that it is a waste of
time to consider such problems?
In retrospect, I think Ted was after something else besides my actually
memorizing every suit combination. Ted wanted me to see the entire scope
of what plays were possible in a single suit. By reading these tables (and
by doing formal analyses) a player can learn some very sound general principles
even if they are only able to memorize a small percentages of the thousands
of combinations.
When players like Hamman, Meckstroth, and Chelma each play the same
trump suit differently, it illustrates that perfect suit combination play
is not a critical factor in winning bridge. The second best play usually
gets the job done. Your bridge goals should not include perfection - that
is impractical. They should be to avoid completely ridiculous plays and
to be aware of some of the "non-intuitive" plays. Studying suit
combinations (either through tables or through formal analyses) can help
you achieve these goals.